Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes by Wen Wang

Cover of: Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes | Wen Wang

Published by Delft University Press .

Written in English

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Subjects:

  • General,
  • Technology & Engineering,
  • Mathematics,
  • Hydrological forecasting,
  • Mathematical models,
  • Streamflow,
  • Science/Mathematics

Book details

The Physical Object
FormatPaperback
Number of Pages210
ID Numbers
Open LibraryOL12317695M
ISBN 101586036211
ISBN 109781586036218
OCLC/WorldCa79643350

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Stochasticity, nonlinearity and forecasting of streamflow processes Stochasticity ter verkrijging van de graad van doctor aan de Technische Universiteit Delft, op gezag van de Rector Magnificus J.T. Fokkema, voorzitter van het College voor Promoties, in het openbaar te verdedigen op woensdag 24 mei om uur door Wen WANG.

Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes: Author: Wen Wang: Edition: illustrated: Publisher: IOS Press, ISBN:Length: pages. Download Citation | Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes | Abstract not available | Find, read and cite all the research you need on ResearchGate.

Get this from a library. Stochasticity, nonlinearity and forecasting of streamflow processes. [Wen Wang]. Measles Nonlinearity Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes book Stochasticity in an Epidemic Metapopulation.

Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow. Title: Stochasticity, nonlinearity and forecasting of streamflow processes: Author: Wang, W. Thesis advisor: Vrijling, J.K. Date issued: Access. Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes Imprint: Delft University Press Author: W.

Wang Maypp., softcover ISBN: Price: US$63 / €50 / £35 Streamflow forecasting is of great importance to water resources management and flood defence. On the other hand, a better.

Stochasticity, nonlinearity and forecasting of streamflow processes. By W. (author) Abstract not availableCivil Engineering and Geoscience Topics: streamflow, hydrological forecast, nonlinearity.

Egypt is almost totally dependent on the River Nile for satisfying about 95% of its water requirements. The River Nile has three main tributaries: White Nile, Blue Nile, and River Atbara. The Blue Nile contributes about 60% of total annual flow reached the River Nile at Aswan High Dam.

The goal of this research is to develop a reliable stochastic model for the monthly streamflow of the Blue. streamflow processes are commonly accepted as nonlinear, and the Stochasticity, nonlinearity and forecasting of streamflow.

processes, Book. Jan ; Rao S. Govindaraju. Order Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes ISBN @ € Qty: Streamflow forecasting is of great importance to water resources management and flood defense.

On the other hand, a better understanding of the streamflow process is fundamental for improving the skill of streamflow forecasting. The dynamic and accurate forecasting of monthly streamflow processes of a river are important in the management of extreme events such as floods and drought, optimal design of water storage structures and drainage network.

Many Rivers are selected in this study: White Nile, Blue Nile, Atbara River and main Nile. This paper aims to recommend the best linear stochastic model in forecasting. Measles Nonlinearity and Stochasticity in an Epidemic Metapopulation. | No Comments.

Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow. Journals & Books; Help The time series models used in the streamflow forecasting process are mostly linear models.

They were built under the assumption that the process follows normal distribution, but most streamflow processes are nonlinear (Wang ). New York: Academic Press. Wang, W. Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and.

Get Books The complex dynamic behavior exhibited by many nonlinear systems - chaos, episodic volatility bursts, stochastic regimes switching - has attracted a good deal of attention in recent years.

A Nonlinear Time Series Workshop provides the reader with both the statistical background and the software tools necessary for detecting nonlinear. #Wang, W., Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes, pages, IOS Press, Amsterdam (ISBN ), Puente, C.E., and B. Sivakumar, Modeling geophysical complexity: a case for geometric determinism, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,11,   There are a variety of nonlinear data-driven simulating and predicting/forecasting techniques for hydrological time series data sets including methods based on the concept of trajectories of system dynamics such as chaotic prediction methods (Yang et al.

) and data-driven models including artificial neural networks (ANNs), neuro-fuzzy models, and gene expression programming.

Wang, W. Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes; IOS Press: Amsterdam, The Netherlands, [ Google Scholar ] Shrestha, R.R.; Nestmann, F. Physically based and data-driven models and propagation of input uncertainties in river flood prediction.

"Streamflow forecasting is of great importance to water resources management and flood defense. On the other hand, a better understanding of the streamflow process is fundamental for improving the skill of streamflow forecasting. The methods for forecasting streamflows may fall into two general classes: process-driven methods and data-driven.

A forecasting lead time of ~5–10 days is desired to increase the flood response and preparedness (ADPC ; Webster and Hoyos ; CEGIS ) in flood-prone regions across the world, including major limitation of providing short (3–5 days) to midrange (7–10 days) flood forecasting is mainly associated with large uncertainty in precipitation forecasts data (Clark and.

The seemingly complex nature of river flow and the significant variability it exhibits in both time and space, have largely led to the development and application of the stochastic process concept for its modelling, forecasting, and other ancillary purposes.

Towards this end, in this study, attempt was made at stochastic modelling of the daily streamflow process of the Benue River. The sensitivity analysis also showed that empirical nonlinearity, that is, sensitivity to initial conditions, is best estimated through the absolute forecast performance and its decline over time.

This indicator leads to different interpretations of nonlinearity compared to previous methods but is just as sensitive to the choice of recession. Hakan Tongal, Ronny Berndtsson, Impact of complexity on daily and multi-step forecasting of streamflow with chaotic, stochastic, and black-box models, Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, /s, 31, 3, (), ().

Streamflow forecasting is an important component of water resource system control and a challenging task for water resources engineers and managers.

Good streamflow forecasts enables an efficient operation of water resources systems within technical, economical, legal, and political priorities.

Stochastic (from Greek στόχος (stókhos) 'aim, guess') is any randomly determined process. In mathematics the terms stochastic process and random process are interchangeable. Stochastic processes appear in many different fields, including the physical sciences such as biology, chemistry, ecology, neuroscience, and physics, as well as technology and engineering fields such as image.

Accurate and efficient estimation of streamflow in a watershed’s tributaries is prerequisite parameter for viable water resources management. This study couples process-driven and data-driven methods of streamflow forecasting as a more efficient and cost-effective approach to water resources planning and management.

Two data-driven methods, Bayesian regression and adaptive neuro-fuzzy. The nonlinearity and uncertainty of the runoffs process are such that estimating or predicting required hydrologic data is often tremendous difficult. Consequently, this study applies three forecasting models to predict the ten-day streamflow resulting from rainfalls on the Kao-Ping river watershed.

The three techniques employed in establishing the models include: time series, Grey system. Recently, a stochastic data-driven framework was introduced for forecasting uncertain multiscale hydrological and water resources processes (e.g., streamflow, urban water demand (UWD)) that uses wavelet decomposition of input data to address multiscale change and stochastics to account for input variable selection, parameter, and model output uncertainty (Quilty et al., ).

Stochastic simulation and forecasting of hydroclimatic processes, such as precipitation and streamflow, are vital tools for risk-based management of water resources systems. Stochastic hydrology has a long and rich history in this area.

The traditional approaches have been. Deterministic chaos versus stochasticity in analysis and modeling of point rainfall series Chaos Theory for Hydrologic Modeling and Forecasting, Handbook of Research on Hydroinformatics, J.K. Vrijling, Pieter H.A.J.M. Van Gelder, Jun Ma, Testing for nonlinearity of streamflow processes at different timescales, Journal of.

Chaos Theory for Hydrologic Modeling and Forecasting: Progress and Challenges: /ch In hydrology, two modeling approaches have been prevalent: deterministic and stochastic. The ‘permanent’ nature of the Earth, ocean, and the atmosphere and. Lake water level forecasting is very important for an accurate and reliable management of local and regional water resources.

In the present study two nonlinear approaches, namely phase-space reconstruction and self-exciting threshold autoregressive model (SETAR) were compared for lake water level forecasting. The modeling approaches were applied to high-quality lake water level time.

Here μ gives the per capita birth and death rates, and p is the fraction of newborns vaccinated. The average exposed and infectious periods are given by 1/σ and 1/γ, contact rate, β(t), is a function of time representing the aggregation of children in use term-time forcing (Schenzle ), which simply means that transmission rate is high during the school.

Free Online Library: Hydroprocessing of heavy oils and residua.(Brief Article, Book Review) by "SciTech Book News"; Publishing industry Library and information science Science and technology, general.

Forecasting flows in Apalachicola River using neural networks. Hydrological Processes, 18(13), [doi/hyp] Karamouz, M., and Zahraie, B. Seasonal streamflow forecasting using snow budget and El Niño-southern oscillation climate signals: Application to.

Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes, Ios Press. Wang W., Van Gelder P.H.A.J.M., and Vrijling J.K. Trend and stationarity analysis for streamflow processes of rivers in Western Europe in the 20th century, In Proceedings: IWA International Conference on Water Economics, Statistics, and Finance Rethymno.

Comparison Between Active Learning Method and Support Vector Machine for Runoff Modeling. In this study Active Learning Method (ALM) as a novel fuzzy modeling approach is compared.

Introduction to Stochastic Processes - Lecture Notes (with 33 illustrations) Gordan Žitković Department of Mathematics The University of Texas at Austin. EDM can evaluate state-dependence (or what we call nonlinearity) by comparing forecast performance obtained when using global versus local information to model the system [31,32].

Local information refers to the local neighbourhood of points on the attractor closest to the system's current state, while global information refers to all points on. Koutsoyiannis, and D. Pachakis, Deterministic chaos versus stochasticity in analysis and modeling of P.H.A.J.M.

Van Gelder and J. Ma, Testing for nonlinearity of streamflow processes at different timescales, Journal of Stochasticity, Nonlinearity and Forecasting of Streamflow Processes, pages, IOS Press, Amsterdam.

About Cookies, including instructions on how to turn off cookies if you wish to do so. By continuing to browse this site you agree to us using cookies as described in About Cookies. Remove maintenance message.This authoritative book presents a comprehensive account of the essential roles of nonlinear dynamic and chaos theories in understanding, modeling, and forecasting hydrologic systems.Changing climate and land-use practices influencing the natural stream flow processes in the Naryn river basin of Kyrgyzstan.

Variations in stream flow regime over years ( to ) were investigated using daily discharge data of three hydro-stations (Naryn, Ych-Terek and Uzunakmat), located in the Naryn River Basin.

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